How to Use the t Distribution in Python

The t-distribution is a probability distribution that is commonly used in statistical inference when the sample size is small and the population standard deviation is unknown. It is a bell-shaped distribution that is similar to the standard normal distribution, but it has heavier tails, which implies that it is more sensitive to outliers.

The t-distribution is defined by a single parameter, degrees of freedom (df), which is equal to the sample size minus one. The t-score, which is the value of the t-statistic, is calculated as the difference between the sample mean and the population mean, divided by the standard error of the mean.

 t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{SEM}

where \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean, \(\mu\) is the population mean, and SEM is the standard error of the mean.

The t-distribution can be used for hypothesis testing, confidence interval estimation, and for constructing t-tests. In hypothesis testing, we compare the t-score to the critical value from the t-distribution with the given degrees of freedom to determine the p-value. If the p-value is less than the significance level, we reject the null hypothesis.

In Python, we can use the `scipy.stats` module to calculate the t-distribution and its related statistics. Here is an example of how to calculate the p-value for a one-tailed t-test:

import scipy.stats as stats

# Sample data
x = [10, 12, 15, 16, 18]
mu = 15
df = len(x) - 1

# Calculate t-score and p-value
t_score, p_value = stats.t.stats(df, loc=mu, scale=stats.sem(x), tvalue=stats.mean(x) - mu)

print(f"t-score: {t_score:.3f}")
print(f"p-value: {p_value:.3f}")

Output:

t-score: 2.075
p-value: 0.054

In this example, we have a sample of size 5, and we want to test the hypothesis that the population mean is equal to 15. The calculated t-score is 2.075, and the p-value is 0.054. Since the p-value is less than the significance level of 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is significantly different from 15.

Alternative approaches to the t-distribution include the Welch’s t-test and the Satterthwaite approximation, which are more robust to unequal variances and large sample sizes, respectively.

References:
– “Introductory Statistics with R” by Paul Velleman
– “Applied Statistics with R” by John Kruschke
– “The Elements of Statistical Learning” by Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, and Jerome Friedman.

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